WHY ???

December 28, 2009

OK, why WHY on earth do people believe in political POLL Numbers ?

MY CLAIM is that it is our believing in them and the influence it has on the analysts in the
media and the constant repetition of the Numbers in the Media will CREATE AN ATMOSPHERE that is bound to make people think this is true................and it will ENERGIZE one candidate's supporters while DEMORALIZING and depressing the other candidate's supporters.................THUS affecting the TURNOUT
and ...................making the poll numbers ........self-fulling prophecy.

So, This Phenomenon of the influence of POLL Numbers on the electorate , and thus on the result of election has made me coin the term POLLoCRACY way back in 1990 when Dukakis was 13 points behind Bush in 1988.


The only way we can protect DEMOCRACY against POLLOCRACY is NOT TO BELIEVE them or let it INFLUENCE our MORALE and VOTING.



If the Polls predict one candidate ahead of another, in the last week of elections and the difference is small between the 2 candidates................as it has been in the past few Presidential elections, it can be as good as our own guess about the outcome.

BUT , if the Polls claim that DEM candidate is about 13 Points behind the Rep. candidate (like it was in 1988 ) , then what happens is that the people who wanted to vote for the DEM candidate .
Now i would like to know BY how much of the popular vote Dukakis lost.